AAA is predicting a drop in nationwide travel over the Fourth of July weekend, but Florida may see a slight increase.

Tourism revenue was up $2.8 million over estimates in May. However, gas prices will play a roll in how many tourists visit Florida this summer.

AAA expects car traffic in Florida to mirror last year’s, but air travel should see a slight increase. AAA says package deals that offer discounts on airplane tickets, hotel stays and car rentals are driving the increase, according to the Capitol News Service.

Gas prices may threaten summer travel, but the cost of gas isn’t expected to be as big of a deterrent was it was a year ago. In July 2008, the price of a gallon of gas broke the $4 mark.

Even though prices are down, the memory of last year’s pain at the pump could keep people home.

And if more people find creative ways to spend their money in Florida, the state’s economic woes will take a vacation.